Controlling infectious disease outbreaks: Lessons from mathematical modelling
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Controlling infectious disease outbreaks: Lessons from mathematical modelling.
Epidemiological analysis and mathematical models are now essential tools in understanding the dynamics of infectious diseases and in designing public health strategies to contain them. They have provided fundamental concepts, such as the basic and effective reproduction number, generation times, epidemic growth rates, and the role of pre-symptomatic infectiousness, which are crucial in characte...
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Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), a new, highly contagious, viral disease, emerged in China late in 2002 and quickly spread to 32 countries and regions causing in excess of 774 deaths and 8098 infections worldwide. In the absence of a rapid diagnostic test, therapy or vaccine, isolation of individuals diagnosed with SARS and quarantine of individuals feared exposed to SARS virus were us...
متن کاملMathematical modelling of infectious diseases.
INTRODUCTION Mathematical models allow us to extrapolate from current information about the state and progress of an outbreak, to predict the future and, most importantly, to quantify the uncertainty in these predictions. Here, we illustrate these principles in relation to the current H1N1 epidemic. SOURCES OF DATA Many sources of data are used in mathematical modelling, with some forms of mo...
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Background: Biological events including epidemics, pandemics, emerging, and reemerging infectious diseases have significant adverse consequences on health. The hospitals have a major role in the management of outbreaks and mitigation of effects. During pandemics health systems especially, hospitals may be affected. Methods: Therefore, the current study aimed to collect and analyze lessons lea...
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BACKGROUND Infectious disease outbreaks in communities can be controlled by early detection and effective prevention measures. Assessing the relative importance of each individual community member with respect to these two processes requires detailed knowledge about the underlying social contact network on which the disease can spread. However, mapping social contact networks is typically too r...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Public Health Policy
سال: 2009
ISSN: 0197-5897,1745-655X
DOI: 10.1057/jphp.2009.13